Sunday, November 12, 2017

Morning mail: Turnbull suffers poll plunge

Morning Mail

Morning mail: Turnbull suffers poll plunge

Monday: There's a five-point drop in support for the PM as government deals with the loss of its majority. Plus: far-right activists rally in Poland

Malcolm Turnbull arrives ahead of the Asean summit in Manila on Sunday. Despite the political crisis at home, Turnbull says he will complete his overseas trip.
Malcolm Turnbull arrives ahead of the Asean summit in Manila on Sunday. Despite the political crisis at home, Turnbull says he will complete his overseas trip. Photograph: Mick Tsikas/AAP

Eleanor Ainge Roy


Good morning, this is Eleanor Ainge Roy with the main stories and must-reads on Monday 13 November.

Top stories

Malcolm Turnbull has suffered a five-point drop in the better prime minister rating in the latest Newspoll, a result that will compound his political woes after his government lost its lower-house majority at the weekend. The gap between Turnbull and the Labor leader, Bill Shorten, as preferred prime minister narrowed substantially, with the margin now two points, with the Liberal leader ahead 36% to Shorten's 34%. Labor improved its lead on the two-party-preferred vote, leading the Coalition by 55% to 45% compared with 54% to 46% in the previous poll.

The Senate is due to sit for a week from Monday in what will be a high-octane few days, which will include intensifying political debate within the Coalition over marriage equality, with the results of the postal survey due on Wednesday. As well as navigating the marriage debate, the government on Monday will have to resolve on a new Senate president to replace Stephen Parry, who resigned in the citizenship debacle.

Turnbull is overseas, attending two international summits, and at the weekend said he intended to see those visits through despite the resignation of the Liberal John Alexander, which has triggered a snap byelection in the Sydney seat of Bennelong and cost the government its lower-house majority.

Two former US intelligence chiefs have said Donald Trump poses "a peril" to the US because he is vulnerable to being "played" by Russia, after the president said on Saturday he believed Vladimir Putin's denials of Russian interference in the 2016 election. The former director of national intelligence James Clapper and the former CIA director John Brennan issued a stern rebuke to Trump after the president called both men "political hacks" for their support of an intelligence agency consensus that Russia meddled in the US election.

"He was referring to us as political hacks because he was trying to delegitimise the intelligence assessment that was done," Brennan told CNN. He added: "By not confronting the issue directly and not acknowledging to Putin: 'We know that you're responsible for this,' I think he's giving Putin a pass. And I think it demonstrates to Mr Putin that Donald Trump can be played by foreign leaders who are going to be appeal to his ego and try to play upon his insecurities, which is very, very worrisome from a national security standpoint."

The special counsel Robert Mueller, a former FBI director, has issued the first indictments in the investigation into possible collusion between Trump aides and Russia. Trump has repeatedly denied collusion.

A dramatic land-clearing surge in Queensland could turn into a "tsunami" in the coming year, according to conservationists, with the rate of notifications of planned clearing rising 30% in the past year compared with the previous three-year average. If that translates in to a 30% jump in land clearing, Queensland – a region already marked as a global deforestation hotspot – could experience rates of land clearing seen just twice since detailed observations began in the 1980s. The rise in planned clearing – which could be a sign of "panic clearing" before a planned crackdown if Labor is re-elected – would also cause a spike in sediment washing on to the Great Barrier Reef, which the United Nations has warned is threatening joint Queensland and federal government plans to improve water quality on the reef.

Tens of thousands of nationalist demonstrators marched through Warsaw at the weekend to mark Poland's independence day, throwing red-smoke bombs and carrying banners with slogans such as "white Europe of brotherly nations". Police estimated 60,000 people took part in Saturday's event, in what experts say was one of the biggest gathering of far-right activists in Europe in recent years. Demonstrators with faces covered chanted "Pure Poland, white Poland!" and "Refugees get out!". A banner hung over a bridge read: "Pray for Islamic Holocaust."

The actor Richard Dreyfuss has denied exposing himself to a female writer helping him with a TV script in the 1980s. Dreyfuss told the New York magazine blog Vulture he flirted with and even kissed the Los Angeles writer Jessica Teich over several years but thought it was a "consensual seduction ritual". Teich told Vulture she was hired to develop a script for an ABC comedy special, during which the actor, she said, made continual, overt and lewd comments and invitations but she never told anyone. In 1987, Teich said, she was summoned to his trailer on the set of one of Dreyfuss's films and he exposed his genitals to her. On Saturday Dreyfuss's agent, Barry McPherson, said his client denied ever exposing himself to Teich.

Sport

Australia did everything right against Honduras, except score. But Ange Postecoglou can take great satisfaction from how his Socceroos outplayed Honduras in hostile conditions on Saturday. The value of the result won't become fully apparent until Wednesday but Australia must now be clear favourites to progress to Russia 2018 after experiencing only minor discomfort during a tactically astute display in San Pedro Sula.

Dig in was the instruction and that's exactly what England did on the final day of the Women's Ashes Test. It mattered little that Heather Knight's side tallied just 166 runs at a glacial run rate of 1.89 on the final day of the Women's Ashes Test. What they had achieved by losing just two wickets in their second innings was saving the game, splitting the available points and keeping their dreams alive of regaining the trophy.

Thinking time

Björk in 2017
Björk opens up about why she started a Friday flute club. Photograph: Santiago Felipe

More than two years after her very public exposure and disgrace, the spectre of Belle Gibson still strikes fear into her former associates, even those who once called her their friend. When researching their new book, The Woman who Fooled the World, about the wellness entrepreneur's astonishing downfall, the writers Beau Donelly and Nick Toscano went hunting for the full facts from Gibson's colleagues and friends, including those at Apple and Penguin who had lent Gibson their organisations' huge commercial clout. They found the process was like pulling teeth. "Her name was poison," Toscano told Guardian Australia. "I can't think of another story I've covered that's been so difficult to get people to speak to me."

The Icelandic icon Björk is on the cusp of releasing her latest album, Utopia, and gives the Guardian's Miranda Sawyer a sneak listen in her home town, Reykjavik. "The result is exceptionally beautiful," writes Sawyer of the new album. "Utopia is overwhelming, lush and gorgeous, with harps and flutes and real-life bird calls, a magic forest of constantly changing sound. There's an ebb and flow dynamic, like the turning of swallows in the sky." Björk is squeamish about discussing her music but she does open up about the trouble with men, Icelandic courting rituals and why she started a Friday flute club.

After five years in Downton Abbey as the frosty Lady Mary Michelle Dockery is still trying to throw off the burden of type-casting, and exploring roles that don't feature corsets and period drama. Dockery sat down with the Guardian's Decca Aitkenhead to discuss her latest roles as a gun-toting rancher and a ruthless TV exec, the Weinstein effect and the sudden death of her fiance, who died at the same time her character Lady Mary was going through similar loses on the small screen.

Like most incredibly lucrative inventions, WhatsApp doesn't sound like much: just a free, quick and easy mobile phone messaging service, allowing users to set up specific groups of friends around whom messages will be sent en masse. But last year it overtook traditional SMS text messaging in popularity. It has also become a useful platform for activists and politicians, fuelling a "whisper network" of alliances and playing a crucial role in the revelation of the sexual abuse scandal.

What's he done now?

Donald Trump has offered his services as … wait for it ... a mediator, to help sort out a decades-long dispute over the South China Sea.

"If I can help mediate or arbitrate, please let me know … I am a very good mediator," Trump told Vietnam's President Tran Dai Quang in Hanoi.

Territorial feuds regarding the South China Sea are longstanding and frequently explosive, with resources contested by superpower China, as well as Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia, Brunei and Taiwan.

Solving the South China Sea dispute should be a cinch though for the US president, who claimed in May that the Middle East peace process was "not as difficult as people have thought over the years".

Media roundup

The Age splashes with the major publisher Allen and Unwin dumping a book about the Chinese communist party's influence in Australian politics and academia, saying it fears possible legal action from the Chinese government. Clive Hamilton, who wrote the book, said he fears for free speech. "I'm not aware of any other instance in Australian history where a foreign power has stopped publication of a book that criticises it," Hamilton said. "The reason they've decided not to publish this book is the very reason the book needs to be published." The Advertiser in Adelaide reveals that some South Australians are waiting five years to see a specialist through outpatient clinics, with one public hospital clinic saying it was "too busy" to follow up on patient appointments with GPs. And the ABC has an unsettling opinion piece from Richard Hinds asking why those in the tennis community didn't do more to intervene in the case of tennis prodigy Jelena Dokic, whose autobiography has alleged long-term abuse by her father, who was also her tennis coach and manager.

Coming up

The citizenship saga will fire up again on Monday, with Labor and the government trading barbs over which MPs should be referred to the high court, as all eyes turn to the byelection in Bennelong, due to be held before Christmas. A date for the poll may be announced on Monday.

Malcolm Turnbull will be fielding questions on his missing majority as he rubs shoulders with world leaders at the Asean summit in Manila before returning to Australia mid-week.

Supporting the Guardian

We'd like to acknowledge our generous supporters who enable us to keep reporting on the critical stories. If you value what we do and would like to help, please make a contribution or become a supporter today. Thank you.

Guardian News & Media Limited - a member of Guardian Media Group PLC. Registered Office: Kings Place, 90 York Way, London, N1 9GU. Registered in England No. 908396

No comments:

Post a Comment