Thursday, February 22, 2018

National Accounts Day, and Migration in the UK

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22 February 2018

Economy

National Accounts Day: February 2018

Commenting on today's GDP figures, Head of GDP Darren Morgan said:
"Services continued to drive growth at the end of 2017, but with a number of consumer-facing industries slowing, as price rises led to household budgets being squeezed.
"A number of very small revisions to mining, energy generation and services were enough to see a slight downward revision to quarterly growth overall, despite headline services output being unchanged."

Monthly economic commentary

UK GDP, second estimate: October to December 2017

Business investment in the UK, provisional

UK index of services: December


People, population and community

What do the latest migration figures show?

The latest ONS figures show a small decline in net migration. It's due mainly to a large fall in EU net migration with fewer EU citizens coming here to work. But as Jay Lindop explains, you don't have to look back too far to see when migration last looked like this.

Read the blog

Migration in the UK: February 2018

A summary of the latest official long-term international migration statistics for the UK for the year ending September 2017 published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). The report also includes data from the Home Office and the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) for the year ending December 2017.

Key points

· In the year ending September 2017 net migration was at a similar level to early 2014 with 244,000 more people coming to the UK than leaving, so still adding to the UK population. This follows record levels of net migration during 2015 and early 2016. The latest headline estimates are similar to last quarter.

· EU net migration has fallen over the last year, as fewer EU citizens are coming to the UK and the number leaving the UK increased. However, there are still more EU citizens coming to the UK than leaving.

· The number of EU citizens coming to the UK for work-related reasons has fallen over the last year, in particular those coming to the UK "looking for work".

· Non-EU net migration increased over the last year. This time last year we saw a decrease in the number of non-EU citizens arriving to study, which was not reflected in the most comparable Home Office's student visa data.

· The latest ONS estimate of non-EU citizens arriving to study shows a return to the level before this decrease, therefore any interpretation of this latest increase in non-EU citizens arriving to study should be made with caution.

· In 2017, the UK granted asylum, alternative forms of protection or resettlement to almost 15,000 individuals, 40% of who were under 18 years of age.


Commenting on today's figures, Nicola White, ONS Head of International Migration Statistics said:

"Today's figures show that 244,000 more people are coming to the UK than leaving so net migration is adding to the UK population and is at a similar level to early 2014.

"Looking at the underlying numbers we can see that EU net migration has fallen as fewer EU citizens are arriving, especially those coming to look for work in the UK, and the number leaving has risen. It has now returned to the level seen in 2012.
 
"The figures also show that non-EU net migration is now larger than EU net migration, mainly due to the large decrease in EU net migration over the last year. However, migration of both non-EU and EU citizens are still adding to the UK population.

"Brexit could well be a factor in people's decision to move to or from the UK, but people's decision to migrate is complicated and can be influenced by lots of different reasons."

Visit the National Statistical blog to see the many ways ONS is working to give the UK better statistics for better decisions.

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