Thursday, April 26, 2018

Crime in England and Wales, Economic Review, and Housing Affordability in England and Wales

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26 April 2018

Crime in England and Wales: year ending December 2017 


Today's figures cover the calendar year 2017. Many of the findings are consistent with those reported in the year ending September 2017 bulletin, released in January 2018. The data comes from two main sources: 


The Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW)

This showed that in 2017:

· 80% of adults were not a victim of any type of crime included in the survey.  

· Around 2% of adults said they had been a victim of violent crime in 2017 (violent crime ranges from minor assaults like pushing and shoving to serious physical injury). This compares with around 5% of adults in the peak year of 1995.

· Most types of crime identified in the survey have stayed at levels similar to the previous year. The main exceptions are computer misuse offences, which have fallen by 28%, and vehicle-related theft offences, which have risen by 17%. The latter is consistent with the 16% rise seen in the number of vehicle offences recorded by the police.

 

Police Recorded Crime

This source only covers crimes that come to the attention of the police and can be affected by changes in policing activity and recording practice and by willingness of victims to report. For offences that are well recorded by the police, it provides insight into areas which the survey does not cover well, such as rare and high harm types of violence and homicide. This source showed that in 2017:

 · The latest homicide trend was affected by exceptional events with multiple victims: the terrorist attacks in Manchester and London and the events at Hillsborough in 1989 (which were recorded   as homicides in 2016). If victims of these incidents are excluded from the figures recorded by the police to provide a more consistent comparison, there were 653 homicides in 2017, a 9% rise from the previous year. This follows the general upward trend seen in homicides since March 2014, indicating a change to the long-term downward trend seen in the previous decade. Police recorded homicides were at their highest in the years ending March 2003 and March 2004. 

· Firearms offences recorded rose by 11% to 6,604. This compares with over 11,000 recorded offences during the peak of the years ending March 2005 and March 2006.*

· There was a 22% increase in recorded offences involving knives or other sharp instruments (to 39,598 offences), the highest number in the seven-year series for which comparable data are available.*

· Burglaries recorded by the police rose by 9% from the previous year, but the volume was around half of that recorded in the year ending March 2003. Burglary is thought to be relatively well reported by the public and relatively well recorded by the police, so the increase is likely to reflect a genuine increase.

*Although improved recording and more proactive policing may have contributed to these rises, there have also been genuine increases in these types of crime. This is supported by admissions data for NHS hospitals in England which have shown an increase in admissions for assault by a sharp object and increases in all three categories of assault by firearm discharge These offences tend to be disproportionately concentrated in London and other metropolitan areas; however, the majority of police force areas saw rises in these types of violent crime. 


Commenting on the findings, Alexa Bradley from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said:

"Today's figures show that, for most types of offence, the picture of crime has been fairly stable, with levels much lower than the peak seen in the mid-1990s. Eight in ten adults had not experienced any of the crimes asked about in our survey in the latest year. However, we have seen an increase in the relatively rare, but 'high harm' violent offences such as homicide, knife crime and gun crime, a trend that has been emerging over the previous two years. We have also seen evidence that increases in some types of theft have continued, in particular vehicle-related theft and burglary."


 

Economic Review

 

This edition of the economic review is the fifth following the introduction of economic statistics theme days in January 2017. Each economic review in this new format will have an overarching analytical theme and follow a quarterly publication timetable. The theme of this edition is the regional economy with analysis covering regional gross value added (GVA) growth in the UK, regional firm-level productivity analysis for the non-financial business economy, and regional and sub-regional productivity comparisons for the UK and selected EU countries.


Housing affordability in England and Wales: 2017

 

This release brings together data on house prices and annual earnings to calculate affordability ratios for national and subnational geographies in England and Wales. 

 

 

 

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